Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba Odds · Cuba
Kalshi traders give No a 87% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14% | +641 | — |
| No | 87% | -641 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba"?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price No at 87%, about -641 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.