Will the US take control of any part of Canada Odds · During Trump's term
Kalshi traders give No a 91% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9% | +1011 | — |
| No | 91% | -1011 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the United States acquires any part of Canada before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will the US take control of any part of Canada"?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price No at 91%, about -1011 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 21, 2029 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.