Will the next elected US president be a woman Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 75% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 25% | +300 | ▼ 3 |
| No | 75% | -300 | ▲ 3 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will the next elected US president be a woman"?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 75%, about -300 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 8, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will the next elected US president be a woman?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.