Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by... Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 89% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12% | +770 | — |
| No | 89% | -770 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by..."?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 89%, about -770 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.