Will Rubio and Vance run for President Odds · Before Jan 2028
Kalshi traders give “Yes” a 53% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53% | -111 | ▲ 4 |
| No | 48% | +111 | ▼ 4 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If JD Vance and Marco Rubio both announce presidential campaigns to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will Rubio and Vance run for President"?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Yes at 53%, about -111 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will Rubio and Vance run for President?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.