Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks Odds · Before Jan 21, 2029
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 3% | +3075 | ▼ 2 |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 17% | +506 | ▼ 3 |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 25% | +308 | ▼ 7 |
| Before Jan 21, 2029 | 46% | +117 | ▼ 3 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If a Congressional stock trading ban becomes law between Issuance and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 21, 2029 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.