Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes Odds · Before 2030
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | 6% | +1670 | — |
| Before 2028 | 26% | +285 | — |
| Before 2029 | 45% | +125 | — |
| Before 2030 | 42% | +138 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 8, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.