Will Democrats win all House seats bordering Mexico in 2026 Odds · On Nov 3, 2026
This market has resolved: Yes. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| No | 1% | +9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Democrats win the 2026 U.S. House elections in ALL of the following congressional districts that border Mexico: Arizona's 6th and 7th Districts, California's 25th and 52nd Districts, New Mexico's 2nd District, AND Texas's 15th, 16th, 23rd, 28th, and 34th Districts, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
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Kalshi lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
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