Will Arkansas's crypto mining ownership ban survive appeal Odds · Before Feb 1, 2027
Kalshi traders give No a 63% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38% | +167 | — |
| No | 63% | -167 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the United States Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit vacates or reverses, in whole or in part and on any ground including ripeness, the preliminary injunction barring enforcement of Act 174 of 2024's foreign-ownership restrictions on digital asset mining businesses in Jones Eagle LLC v. Ward before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will Arkansas's crypto mining ownership ban survive appeal"?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price No at 63%, about -167 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Feb 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will Arkansas's crypto mining ownership ban survive appeal?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.