Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law Odds · Through Nov 2027
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| On Nov 13, 2026 | 95% | -1900 | ▼ 4 |
| On Dec 10, 2026 | 90% | -900 | — |
| On Mar 13, 2027 | 64% | -178 | — |
| On Nov 19, 2027 | 19% | +441 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If, as of 11:59 PM ET on Nov 13, 2026, federal law treats a hemp-derived beverage intended for human ingestion containing 3 milligrams or more of Total THC per Container as lawful hemp excluded from the Controlled Substances Act definition of marihuana rather than as a Schedule I controlled substance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 20, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.