Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell Odds · Through Nov 2027
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| On Nov 16, 2026 | 0% | — | — |
| On Dec 10, 2026 | 0% | — | — |
| On Mar 13, 2027 | 0% | — | — |
| On Nov 19, 2027 | 0% | — | — |
| On Nov 16, 2026 | 98% | -3900 | ▼ 3 |
| On Dec 14, 2026 | 57% | -133 | — |
| On Mar 15, 2027 | 66% | -194 | — |
| On Nov 22, 2027 | 70% | -233 | — |
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Resolution rules
If, as of the end of Nov 16, 2026, a hemp-derived beverage enclosed in a 12-fluid-ounce container that contains exactly 3 milligrams of naturally produced delta-9 THC (and no other cannabinoids) is treated under federal law as lawful to sell, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 20, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.