Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026 Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Yi | 3% | +2977 | ▲ 1 |
| Cai Qi | 2% | +5614 | — |
| Li Qiang | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Wang Huning | 3% | +3536 | — |
| Zhao Leji | 2% | +4248 | — |
| Ding Xuexiang | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Li Xi | 3% | +3290 | — |
| Zhang Shengmin | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Dong Jun | 4% | +2678 | ▼ 2 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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