Who will Trump pardon Odds · Before Jan 21, 2029
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robin Smith | 37% | +174 | — |
| Larry Householder | 28% | +264 | — |
| Matt Borges | 16% | +545 | — |
| Joseph Maldonado | 18% | +456 | — |
| Torence Hatch | 42% | +138 | — |
| Ghislaine Maxwell | 34% | +194 | ▼ 3 |
| Sean Combs | 28% | +264 | — |
| Sam Bankman-Fried | 30% | +233 | — |
| Hunter Biden | 5% | +2098 | — |
| Julian Assange | 29% | +245 | — |
| Eric Adams | 36% | +178 | — |
| Edward Snowden | 28% | +264 | ▼ 2 |
| Derek Chauvin | 26% | +285 | — |
| Tou Thao | 20% | +413 | — |
| Leon Stanton | 14% | +612 | — |
| Jose Muyet | 9% | +1070 | — |
| Daniel Hale | 13% | +697 | — |
| Donald Trump | 66% | -194 | ▲ 6 |
| Justin Sun | 25% | +308 | — |
| Jeffery Williams | 9% | +1049 | — |
| Roger Ver | 6% | +1553 | — |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 73% | -270 | — |
| Jared Kushner | 71% | -245 | — |
| Barron Trump | 56% | -130 | ▼ 1 |
| Do Kwon | 22% | +365 | — |
| Alex Mashinsky | 11% | +848 | — |
| Ty Garbin | 8% | +1142 | — |
| Pete Rose | 25% | +308 | — |
| Prakazrel Michel | 37% | +174 | — |
| Bob Menendez | 23% | +335 | — |
| Joe Giudice | 22% | +355 | — |
| Kisean Anderson | 26% | +292 | — |
| DeAndre Way | 6% | +1595 | — |
| Safaree Samuels | 14% | +638 | — |
| Sebastian Telfair | 9% | +1049 | — |
| Steve Bannon | 39% | +160 | — |
| Brian Cole Jr. | 14% | +614 | — |
| Keonne Rodriguez | 43% | +133 | — |
| Martin Shkreli | 28% | +257 | — |
| Bill Hwang | 39% | +156 | — |
Showing the top 40 of 52 outcomes.
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Robin Smith has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 21, 2029 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will Trump pardon?
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