Who will the next Pope be Odds · Before 2070
Kalshi traders give Luis Antonio Tagle a 7% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Antonio Tagle | 7% | +1261 | — |
| Pietro Parolin | 5% | +2005 | — |
| Pierbattista Pizzaballa | 4% | +2567 | — |
| Matteo Zuppi | 3% | +3075 | — |
| Peter Erdo | 3% | +3536 | — |
| Fridolin Ambongo | 3% | +3674 | — |
| Anders Arborelius | 3% | +3822 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
If Pierbattista Pizzaballa becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Who will the next Pope be?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Luis Antonio Tagle at 7%, about +1261 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2070 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will the next Pope be?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.