Who will the House impeach first before 2028 Odds · Before Jan 1, 2028
Kalshi traders give Pete Hegseth a 76% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth | 76% | -308 | ▲ 19 |
| None of these | 12% | +733 | ▼ 4 |
| Donald Trump | 9% | +1076 | ▼ 5 |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 3 |
| JD Vance | 3% | +2757 | — |
| Todd Blanche | 3% | +2757 | ▲ 5 |
| Howard Lutnick | 3% | +3900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Who will the House impeach first before 2028?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Pete Hegseth at 76%, about -308 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 8, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will the House impeach first before 2028?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.