Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel Odds · Before Jan 1, 2045
Kalshi traders give Gadi Eisenkot a 83% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eisenkot | 83% | -471 | ▲ 17 |
| Israel Katz | 5% | +2051 | ▲ 25 |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 4% | +2253 | ▼ 9 |
| Naftali Bennett | 4% | +2640 | — |
| Amir Ohana | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Yoav Gallant | 1% | +9424 | — |
| Yariv Levin | 1% | +9424 | ▲ 2 |
| Yossi Cohen | 1% | +9424 | — |
| Yair Lapid | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Itamar Ben-Gvir | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Bezalel Smotrich | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Benny Gantz | <1% | +16567 | — |
| Yair Golan | <1% | +18082 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Naftali Bennett, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Gadi Eisenkot at 83%, about -471 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2045 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.