Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election Odds · Before Apr 30, 2030
Kalshi traders give Rahul Gandhi a 35% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rahul Gandhi | 35% | +186 | — |
| Narendra Modi | 28% | +257 | — |
| Yogi Adityanath | 15% | +590 | — |
| Nitin Gadkari | 3% | +2757 | — |
| Devendra Fadnavis | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Amit Shah | 3% | +3900 | — |
| N. Chandrababu Naidu | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Priyanka Gandhi Vadra | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Akhilesh Yadav | 2% | +6567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Narendra Modi becomes Prime Minister of India as a result of government formation following the next Indian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Apr 30, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Rahul Gandhi at 35%, about +186 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Apr 30, 2030 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.