Prime Minister of Australia after next election Odds
Polymarket traders give Anthony Albanese a 43% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Albanese | 43% | +135 | ▼ 0 |
| Pauline Hanson | 19% | +426 | ▼ 0 |
| Angus Taylor | 18% | +456 | — |
| Jim Chalmers | 6% | +1567 | — |
| Robbie Katter | 1% | +9424 | — |
| Larissa Waters | <1% | +11011 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Prime Minister of Australia after next election?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Anthony Albanese at 43%, about +135 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Sep 24, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Prime Minister of Australia after next election?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.