Who will be the next Speaker of the House Odds · Before 2031
Kalshi traders give Hakeem Jeffries a 94% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hakeem Jeffries | 94% | -1639 | ▲ 4 |
| Ro Khanna | 4% | +2757 | ▼ 5 |
| Joe Neguse | 2% | +6567 | ▲ 1 |
| Ted Lieu | 2% | +6567 | ▲ 1 |
| Jim Jordan | 1% | +9424 | ▲ 1 |
| Katherine Clark | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Pete Aguilar | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Steve Scalise | <1% | +39900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Hakeem Jeffries is the first Speaker of the House after Mike Johnson, before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be the next Speaker of the House?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Hakeem Jeffries at 94%, about -1639 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2031 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will be the next Speaker of the House?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.