Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026 Odds · In 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump ✓ | 54% | -117 | — |
| Joe Biden ✓ | 30% | +233 | — |
| Kamala Harris | 8% | +1112 | — |
| Barack Obama ✓ | 38% | +163 | — |
| Prince Andrew ✓ | 40% | +150 | — |
| Bill Clinton ✓ | 44% | +127 | — |
| Hillary Clinton ✓ | 42% | +138 | — |
| Stephen Hawking | 21% | +376 | — |
| Ehud Barak ✓ | 48% | +108 | — |
| Bill Gates ✓ | 39% | +156 | — |
| Michael Jackson | 11% | +848 | — |
| Woody Allen ✓ | 43% | +133 | — |
| Kevin Spacey ✓ | 30% | +233 | — |
| Naomi Campbell ✓ | 40% | +150 | — |
| Alec Baldwin | 23% | +335 | — |
| Leonardo DiCaprio | 8% | +1174 | — |
| Rupert Murdoch | 9% | +1030 | — |
| Sean Combs | 16% | +545 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.