Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election Odds · Before Oct 27, 2027
Kalshi traders give Yair Lapid a 49% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yair Lapid | 49% | +104 | ▼ 3 |
| Einat Wilf | 33% | +203 | ▲ 31 |
| Naftali Bennett | 7% | +1329 | — |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 6% | +1567 | ▲ 8 |
| Gideon Sa'ar | 6% | +1567 | — |
| Chili Tropper | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Gadi Eisenkot | 5% | +2122 | ▲ 4 |
| Yossi Cohen | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Ron Dermer | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Yoram Cohen | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Benny Gantz | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Yair Golan | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Amir Ohana | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Eli Cohen | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Israel Katz | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 0% | — | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Amir Ohana formally takes office as Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Yair Lapid at 49%, about +104 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Oct 27, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.