Which states will join the National Popular Vote Compact Odds · Before Nov 7, 2028
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pennsylvania | 25% | +300 | ▲ 1 |
| Michigan | 50% | -100 | — |
| Arizona | 49% | +106 | ▲ 13 |
| Wisconsin | 56% | -130 | — |
| Nevada | 38% | +163 | — |
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Resolution rules
If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Pennsylvania before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 14, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Which states will join the National Popular Vote Compact?
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