Which states will Trump visit before the midterms Odds
This market has resolved: Alaska. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 1 |
| Arizona ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 1 |
| Georgia ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| Iowa ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 1 |
| Kansas ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 1 |
| Maine | 0% | — | ▼ 16 |
| Michigan ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 1 |
| Nevada ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 2 |
| New Hampshire | 0% | — | ▼ 8 |
| North Carolina ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| Ohio ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| Oregon | 0% | — | ▼ 19 |
| Texas ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 2 |
| Wisconsin | 0% | — | ▼ 5 |
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the listed US state between market creation and November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 3, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?
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