Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election? Odds
This market has resolved: Likud. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Likud ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 69 |
| Together | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Shas | 0% | — | — |
| Blue and White | 0% | — | — |
| Religious Zionism | 0% | — | — |
| UTJ | 0% | — | — |
| Otzma Yehudit | 0% | — | — |
| Yisrael Beiteinu | 0% | — | ▼ 3 |
| Yashar | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Hadash–Ta'al | 0% | — | ▼ 3 |
| Democrats | 0% | — | — |
| New Hope | 0% | — | ▼ 3 |
| Noam | 0% | — | ▼ 3 |
| No Endorsement | 0% | — | ▼ 64 |
| Party B | 0% | — | — |
| Party C | 0% | — | — |
| Party D | 0% | — | — |
| Party E | 0% | — | — |
| Party F | 0% | — | — |
| Party G | 0% | — | — |
| Party H | 0% | — | — |
| Party I | 0% | — | — |
| Other | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026. This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties. Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election??
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