Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections Odds
This market has resolved: RZP-Zehut. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| RZP-Zehut ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 3 |
| Ra'am ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 2 |
| Amcha Yisrael | 0% | — | — |
| Blue & White | 0% | — | — |
| Reservists and New Economic Party | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 27, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.