Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026 Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pakistan | 3% | +3179 | — |
| Lebanon | 1% | +8233 | — |
| Venezuela | 2% | +3982 | — |
| Portugal | 11% | +781 | — |
| Israel | 7% | +1329 | — |
| Canada | 4% | +2567 | — |
| Mexico | 3% | +3822 | — |
| Saudi Arabia | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Japan | 3% | +2841 | — |
| Germany | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 4 |
| South Korea | 8% | +1233 | — |
| Russia | 3% | +2885 | ▼ 2 |
| Ukraine | 3% | +3233 | ▲ 1 |
| Taiwan | 3% | +3409 | — |
| Italy | 4% | +2339 | — |
| Oman | 6% | +1487 | — |
| India | 4% | +2532 | — |
| Belarus | 3% | +3126 | — |
| Syria | 4% | +2717 | — |
| North Korea | 3% | +3233 | — |
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Price history
On Kalshi
A similar market trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.