Where will Trump and Putin next meet Odds · Before 2029
Kalshi traders give China a 83% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| China | 83% | -471 | ▲ 5 |
| Russia | 10% | +900 | — |
| Germany | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Alaska | 3% | +3233 | — |
| United Arab Emirates | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Turkey | 3% | +3900 | — |
| New York City | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Qatar | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Saudi Arabia | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Hungary | 2% | +6567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska happens in New York City before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price China at 83%, about -471 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2029 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.