When will AP call the Mississippi Senate election Odds · Nov 3, 2026 election
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 5 | 6% | +1567 | — |
| Before Nov 6 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Before Nov 11 | 55% | -122 | ▲ 16 |
| Before Nov 14 | 87% | -669 | ▲ 2 |
| Before Nov 21 | 97% | -3233 | ▲ 8 |
| Before Dec 4 | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Before Jan 4 | 98% | -4900 | ▲ 96 |
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Resolution rules
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Mississippi U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 11, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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