When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority Odds · Nov 3, 2026 election
This market has resolved: Before 4AM Nov 4. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 11PM Nov 3 | 15% | +567 | ▲ 13 |
| Before Nov 4 | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 45 |
| Before 1AM Nov 4 | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 41 |
| Before 4AM Nov 4 ✓ | 98% | -4900 | ▲ 26 |
| Before Nov 6 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 13 |
| Before Nov 11 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 12 |
| Before Nov 14 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 10 |
| Before Jan 1 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 8, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.