What will Trump say in October Odds · Before Nov 1, 2026
This market has resolved: Greenland. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greenland ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Zohran / Mamdani ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Barack Hussein Obama ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Newscum ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Cognitive ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Fat shot / Ozempic | 3% | +3233 | ▼ 7 |
| Predict / Prediction ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Autism ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 6 |
| Pelosi ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Filibuster ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Peace in the Middle East | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Epstein ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Make Iran Great Again | 1% | +9900 | — |
| UFO / UAP | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| UFC ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Third Term ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Moon ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Space Force ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Antifa | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 11 |
| Ceasefire ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Peptide | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Golden Dome | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Who are you with / Where are you from ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Deal / Settle / Settled ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Dividend / Stimulus ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Aluminum ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Greenland, or a plural or possessive form of Greenland, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 1, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on What will Trump say in October?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.