What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa Odds · Donald Trump - Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled for October 22, 2026
This market has resolved: Transgender. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Transgender ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Healthcare | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Save America Act ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Dividend / Stimulus ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Hottest ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Stock Market ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Nuclear (3+ times) ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Kamala ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Sleepy Joe ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Barack Hussein Obama ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Iran (5+ times) ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Made in America / American Made | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Supreme Court ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| E15 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Hormuz ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Steel ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Russia / Ukraine ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Israel / Israeli | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Estate Tax / Death Tax ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Ethanol ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Corn | 1% | +9900 | — |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1% | +9900 | — |
| America First ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Drill Baby Drill | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Fraud (3+ times) | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Gulf of America ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Blockade ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Fentanyl | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Ceasefire | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Peace in the Middle East | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Event does not qualify | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Space Force | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Trump Account | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Soybean | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Ilhan / Omar ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Somalia / Somali / Somalian ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Google ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Data Center | 1% | +9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump says Transgender as part of Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 5, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa?
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