What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Iowa Odds
This market has resolved: Tax 33+ times. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tax 33+ times ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 61 |
| Hell 15+ times ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 50 |
| Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times | 0% | — | ▼ 47 |
| Transgender 7+ times ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 48 |
| SI / Super Intelligence | 0% | — | ▼ 61 |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | — | ▼ 12 |
| France / Paris ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 12 |
| Ass | 0% | — | ▼ 51 |
| Right to Repair / Right to Fix ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 50 |
| Google ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 54 |
| Meat / Steak | 0% | — | ▼ 60 |
| Filibuster | 0% | — | ▼ 10 |
| Veteran | 0% | — | ▼ 48 |
| Data Center | 0% | — | ▼ 38 |
| Russia / Ukraine ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 33 |
| Hormuz / Blockade ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 42 |
| Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | 0% | — | ▲ 25 |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 0% | — | ▼ 3 |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | — | ▼ 7 |
| Democrat 5+ times ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times ✓ | 100% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa on October 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-sioux-city-ia-president-donald-j-trump-djt) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Iowa on October 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 22, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?
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