What will Trump say during his announcement Odds · Donald Trump - Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026
This market has resolved: China / Chinese. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| China / Chinese ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Invest / Invested / Investment | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Nuclear ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Biden ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Tariff | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Iran (3+ times) ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Hottest | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Russia / Russian ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Billion / Trillion ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Fake News | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Inflation | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Stock Market | 1% | +9900 | — |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Fraud ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Midterm ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| France ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Ukraine ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Healthcare ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Supreme Court | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Tax Cut | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Immigrant / Immigration ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Event does not qualify | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Elon / Musk ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Taxpayer ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Ilhan / Omar | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Rigged Election | 1% | +9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump says China / Chinese as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 3, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on What will Trump say during his announcement?
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