What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference Odds
This market has resolved: Inflation 20+ times. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price 30+ times | 0% | — | ▼ 54 |
| Inflation 20+ times ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 53 |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times | 0% | — | ▼ 46 |
| SI / Super Intelligence ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 60 |
| Good Day ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 7 |
| Good Afternoon | 0% | — | ▼ 4 |
| Payroll ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 56 |
| Oversight | 0% | — | ▼ 25 |
| Conflict / Middle East | 0% | — | ▼ 66 |
| Good Question ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 14 |
| CapEx / Capital Expenditure ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 49 |
| Soft / Softening ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 76 |
| Software | 0% | — | ▼ 10 |
| Pressure / Stagflation | 0% | — | ▼ 54 |
| President / Trump | 0% | — | ▼ 55 |
| Pandemic / Recession | 0% | — | ▼ 28 |
| Unchanged / Dissent | 0% | — | ▼ 26 |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 34 |
| Gold / Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 0% | — | ▼ 5 |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | — | ▼ 0 |
Price history
Resolution rules
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on October 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 28, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.