Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026 Odds · On Oct 18, 2026
This market has resolved: 38.9%. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38.9% ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| 39.0% | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Below 38.4% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| 38.4% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| 38.5% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| 38.6% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| 38.7% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| 38.8% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 39.0% | 1% | +9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Oct 18, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.