Trump's approval rating on Oct 30, 2026 Odds · On Oct 30, 2026
This market has resolved. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38.3 to 38.5 | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 46 |
| Below 37.7 | 4% | +2400 | ▲ 2 |
| 37.7 to 37.9 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| 38.0 to 38.2 | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 11 |
| 38.6 to 38.8 | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 24 |
| 38.9 to 39.1 | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 10 |
| 39.2 to 39.4 | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Above 39.4 | 1% | +9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If the President's approval rating is below 37.7% at 11:00 AM ET on October 30, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Oct 30, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Trump's approval rating on Oct 30, 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.