Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win Odds · TX, AK, IA, OH
Kalshi traders give Democratic sweep a 96% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic sweep | 96% | -2432 | ▲ 3 |
| Texas, Iowa, Ohio | 1% | +6797 | — |
| Alaska, Iowa, Ohio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Texas only | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Republican sweep | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Ohio only | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Iowa only | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Iowa, Ohio | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Alaska only | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Alaska, Ohio | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Alaska, Iowa | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Texas, Ohio | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Texas, Iowa | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Texas, Alaska | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Texas, Alaska, Ohio | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Texas, Alaska, Iowa | <1% | +99900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the winning party for the Class II Senate seat of Texas is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Alaska is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Iowa is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class III Senate seat of Ohio is NOT the Democratic Party for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Democratic sweep at 96%, about -2432 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.