Taiwan presidential election winner Odds · In 2028
Kalshi traders give William Lai a 77% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Lai | 77% | -335 | — |
| Cheng Li-wun | 9% | +1011 | — |
| Hou Yu-ih | 4% | +2432 | — |
| Terry Gou | 4% | +2432 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the winner of the next Taiwanese presidential election is William Lai, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Taiwan presidential election winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price William Lai at 77%, about -335 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 31, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Taiwan presidential election winner?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.