Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent Odds · Vote Percent - PSOE
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 21% | 96% | -2400 | — |
| At least 23% | 95% | -1900 | — |
| At least 24% | 94% | -1567 | ▼ 4 |
| At least 25% | 86% | -614 | — |
| At least 26% | 75% | -292 | ▲ 20 |
| At least 27% | 54% | -120 | — |
| At least 28% | 36% | +178 | ▲ 4 |
| At least 29% | 22% | +355 | — |
| At least 30% | 17% | +488 | — |
| At least 31% | 9% | +1011 | — |
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Price history
On Polymarket
A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by PSOE in the 2026 Spanish general election is 21% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.