Sonora Governor Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Lorenia Valles Sampedro a 56% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenia Valles Sampedro | 56% | -125 | ▲ 1 |
| Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez | 19% | +424 | ▼ 6 |
| Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas | 14% | +602 | — |
| Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez | 6% | +1513 | — |
| Rogelio Díaz Brown | 4% | +2678 | ▼ 2 |
| Javier Lamarque Cano | 1% | +7043 | — |
| Damián Zepeda Vidales | <1% | +18082 | — |
| Natalia Rivera Grijalva | <1% | +18082 | — |
| Guadalupe María Soto | <1% | +22122 | — |
| Ernesto Gándara Camou | <1% | +33233 | — |
| Omar del Valle Colosio | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Manuel Scott Sánchez | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Froylán Gámez Gamboa | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Célida Teresa López Cárdenas | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Heriberto Aguilar Castillo | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Lilly Téllez García | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Víctor Hugo Celaya | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Patricia Mercado Castro | <1% | +66567 | — |
| María Dolores del Río Sánchez | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Sonora Governor Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Lorenia Valles Sampedro at 56%, about -125 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jun 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Sonora Governor Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.