Sinaloa Governor Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Imelda Castro Castro a 66% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Imelda Castro Castro | 66% | -190 | ▼ 1 |
| Mario Zamora Gastélum | 20% | +395 | ▼ 1 |
| Paloma Sánchez Ramos | 16% | +541 | ▲ 1 |
| María Teresa Guerra Ochoa | 2% | +5961 | — |
| María Fernanda Rivera | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros | <1% | +16567 | — |
| Graciela Domínguez Nava | <1% | +18082 | — |
| Lucila Ayala de Moreschi | <1% | +18082 | — |
| Tomás de Jesús López Bajo | <1% | +18082 | — |
| Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez | <1% | +18082 | — |
| Eduardo Ortiz Hernández | <1% | +18082 | — |
| Guillermo Romero Rodríguez | <1% | +22122 | — |
| Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos | <1% | +24900 | — |
| Estrella Palacios Domínguez | <1% | +24900 | — |
| Ricardo Madrid Pérez | <1% | +24900 | — |
| Jesús Fernando García Hernández | <1% | +24900 | — |
| Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García | <1% | +28471 | — |
| Roxana Rubio Valdez | <1% | +28471 | — |
| Sergio Torres Félix | <1% | +28471 | — |
| Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Omar López Campos | <1% | +66567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Sinaloa Governor Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Imelda Castro Castro at 66%, about -190 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jun 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Sinaloa Governor Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.