Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place Odds
This market has resolved: Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 10 |
| Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | 0% | — | — |
| Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Student List – Students Win | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) | 0% | — | — |
| Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification | 0% | — | — |
| Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić | 0% | — | — |
| Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović | 0% | — | — |
| European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš | 0% | — | — |
| SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak | 0% | — | — |
| List A | 0% | — | — |
| List B | 0% | — | — |
| List C | 0% | — | — |
| List D | 0% | — | — |
| List E | 0% | — | — |
| List F | 0% | — | — |
| List G | 0% | — | — |
| List H | 0% | — | — |
| List I | 0% | — | — |
| List J | 0% | — | — |
| List K | 0% | — | — |
| List L | 0% | — | — |
| List M | 0% | — | — |
| List N | 0% | — | — |
| List O | 0% | — | — |
| List P | 0% | — | — |
| List Q | 0% | — | — |
| List R | 0% | — | — |
| List S | 0% | — | — |
| List T | 0% | — | — |
| List U | 0% | — | — |
| List V | 0% | — | — |
| List W | 0% | — | — |
| List X | 0% | — | — |
| List Y | 0% | — | — |
| List Z | 0% | — | — |
| Other | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 25, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.