Quito Mayoral Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Pabel Muñoz a 47% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pabel Muñoz | 47% | +115 | ▼ 3 |
| Harold Burbano | 23% | +335 | ▲ 6 |
| Jorge Yunda | 18% | +471 | ▼ 1 |
| Wilson Merino | 14% | +590 | — |
| Linda Romero | 5% | +1920 | — |
| Carla Larrea | 4% | +2532 | — |
| Paúl Desamblanc | 4% | +2678 | ▲ 1 |
| César Díaz | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Galo Almeida | 3% | +3674 | — |
| Bernardo Jijón | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
The 2026 Quito, Ecuador mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Quito as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ecuadorian government, including the National Electoral Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral, CNE, https://www.cne.gob.ec) and the Contentious Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Contencioso Electoral, TCE, https://www.tce.gob.ec).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Quito Mayoral Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Pabel Muñoz at 47%, about +115 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 30, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Quito Mayoral Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.