Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh a 82% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh | 82% | -456 | ▲ 1 |
| Kefas Ropshik | 12% | +713 | — |
| John Sunday Sura | 4% | +2567 | — |
| Margaret Inusa Yahaya | 2% | +5028 | — |
| Sunday Garba Biggs | <1% | +18082 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Plateau State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh at 82%, about -456 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Feb 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.