Piura Mayoral Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi a 94% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi | 94% | -1513 | ▼ 1 |
| Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán | 6% | +1609 | ▲ 6 |
| John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Walther Guerrero Silva | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Guillermo Chávez Timoteo | <1% | +199900 | — |
| José Luis Morey Requejo | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Piura Mayoral Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi at 94%, about -1513 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 5, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Piura Mayoral Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.