PA-08 House winner Odds · In 2026
This market has resolved: Paige Cognetti. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Cognetti ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 10 |
| Rob Bresnahan | 2% | +4900 | ▼ 10 |
Price history
Resolution rules
If the House member sworn in for PA-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 4, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on PA-08 House winner?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.