Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay Odds · In 2027
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Digger | 20% | +413 | — |
| Fjord | 45% | +122 | — |
| Forgotten Island | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Josephine | 16% | +545 | — |
| Wild Horse Nine | 91% | -1011 | — |
| The Drama | 8% | +1150 | — |
| Fatherland | 6% | +1718 | — |
| The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Club Kid | 57% | -133 | — |
| Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma | 11% | +809 | — |
| A Place in Hell | 6% | +1718 | — |
| The Black Ball | 8% | +1233 | ▲ 6 |
| The Invite | 5% | +1900 | ▲ 4 |
| Obsession | 54% | -120 | — |
| The Odyssey | 2% | +6567 | — |
| The Debut | 91% | -1011 | — |
| Elsinore | 36% | +178 | ▲ 6 |
| Behemoth! | 16% | +545 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Digger has been nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.