AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

Oscar nominees: Best Director Odds · In 2027

Kalshi Volume $72.6K 24h $258 Ends Jan 21, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Phil Lord
8% +1150 —
Christopher Miller
12% +770 —
Danny Boyle
2% +4900 —
Na Hong-jin
2% +6567 —
Andrew Haigh
4% +2400 —
Christopher Nolan
99% -6567 —
Steven Spielberg
7% +1438 —
David Fincher
12% +733 —
Joel Coen
2% +4900 —
Martin McDonagh
70% -233 —
Paweł Pawlikowski
5% +2122 —
Greta Gerwig
3% +3900 —
Daisy Edgar-Jones DEACTIVATED
0% — —
Olivia Wilde
61% -153 ▲ 7
Denis Villeneuve
61% -153 ▲ 2
Ryusuke Hamaguchi
31% +223 —
Javier Calvo
90% -900 —
James Ashcroft
2% +4900 —
Cristian Mungiu
17% +488 —
Janus Metz Pedersen
3% +3900 —
Ben Affleck
2% +6567 —
Curry Barker
16% +506 ▼ 1
Tony Gilroy
3% +3233 —
Alejandro González Iñárritu
21% +376 —
Beth de Araujo
2% +6567 —
Jesse Eisenberg
19% +441 ▲ 3
Mike Leigh
6% +1567 ▲ 6
Nathan Fielder
64% -174 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 17 Nov 6
Phil Lord

Resolution rules

If Phil Lord has been nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

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Kalshi lists Jan 21, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

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