Oscar nominees: Best Actress Odds · In 2027
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Renate Reinsve | 25% | +300 | — |
| Cynthia Erivo | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Natalie Portman | 3% | +3233 | ▼ 1 |
| Sandra Hüller | 64% | -178 | — |
| Joan Collins | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Scarlett Johansson | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Kirsten Dunst | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Penélope Cruz | 6% | +1718 | — |
| Dakota Johnson | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Mikey Madison | 6% | +1567 | — |
| Julianne Moore | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Lily Gladstone | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Emily Blunt | 13% | +700 | ▼ 1 |
| Michelle Williams | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Daisy Edgar-Jones | 7% | +1438 | — |
| Zendaya | 21% | +376 | — |
| Inde Navarrette | 77% | -326 | ▼ 1 |
| Michelle Monaghan | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Shailene Woodley | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Ruth Madeley | 37% | +174 | — |
| Anne Hathaway | 8% | +1150 | — |
| Rosalind Eleazar | 15% | +567 | — |
| Sophie Okonedo | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Virginie Efira | 43% | +135 | — |
| Olivia Wilde | 73% | -264 | ▼ 2 |
| Laura Linney | 6% | +1567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Renate Reinsve has been nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 21, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Oscar nominees: Best Actress?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.