Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Lee Fairclough a 67% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Fairclough | 67% | -199 | ▲ 3 |
| Navdeep Bains | 34% | +194 | — |
| Stephanie Bowman | 2% | +6352 | — |
| Eric Lombardi | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Dylan Marando | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Lee Fairclough at 67%, about -199 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 10, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.